KBRA releases the October 2026 issue of CMBS Trend Watch.
CMBS issuance has entered the final stretch of 2026 at a slower pace. Lingering interest rate concerns and uncertainty surrounding the Federal Reserve’s policy direction and midterm elections have weighed on issuance momentum, prompting some issuers to delay transactions. Private label CMBS issuance fell to 10 deals in October from 19 in September, although November’s pipeline suggests this could lead to some improvement in activity.
Five commercial real estate (CRE) collateralized loan obligation (CLO) deals priced for a total of $5.52 billion. CRE CLO issuance year-to-date (YTD) was $39 billion, for a robust 54.3% increase year-over-year (YoY).
Based on our current visibility, there could be up to 13 deals announced in November, including seven single-borrower (SB), four conduits, one CRE CLO, and one Freddie Mac K-Series Agency deal.
In October, KBRA published pre-sales for five deals ($4.4 billion), including one SB ($527.1 million), two conduits ($1.7 billion), and two CRE CLOs ($2.1 billion). October’s surveillance activity included rating reviews of 581 securities issued in connection with 62 transactions. Of the 581 ratings, 524 were affirmed (90.2%), 54 were downgraded (9.3%), and three were upgraded (0.5%).
This month’s edition also highlights recent KBRA research publications that cover various topical issues.
Click here to view the report.
Recent Publications
- CMBS Conduit End of Life: Tail Period Behavior
- CMBS Loan Performance Trends: October 2026
- Industrial Real Estate: Shifting Fundamentals and the Rise of Industrial Outdoor Storage
- AI Credit: Data Centers in Focus—Credit Considerations Across Asset Classes Webinar Recap
- Time Is Not Free: Loan Modifications in SASB CMBS 2.0
- KBRA CMBS Loss Compendium Update: June 2026
- 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act Becomes Law: SFR Implications
- Servicer Holdbacks and Impact on CMBS Waterfalls: WFCM 2015-C26 Case Study
- CRE CLO Loan Default and Loss Study: Rising Defaults and Modifications Amid Limited Losses
- Late Checkout: Lodging Delinquencies Vary by Price Class and Chain
About KBRA
KBRA, one of the major credit rating agencies, is registered in the US, EU, UK, and Japan. KBRA is recognized as a Qualified Rating Agency in Taiwan and is also a Designated Rating Organization for structured finance ratings in Canada. As a full-service credit rating agency, investors can use KBRA ratings for regulatory capital purposes in multiple jurisdictions.
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